The Illusion of Confidence

• The confidence that people project in a variety of situations, is all too often an illusion. Worse yet, it is the people in the bottom half of an ability range who are more likely to be over confident. Since they don’t realize that they are below average, they are unlikely to take steps to improve. The more expertise one has, the more likely they are to say “I don’t know” and mean it. If you offer your opinion to a group early and often, people will take your confidence as an indicator of ability, even if you are actually no better than your peers.

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